Excess mortality

Excess Mortality
Table of Contents

    Translate this blog in Deutsch Italiano Portoghese Española Ελληνικά or any other language

    Copying a sentence from the blog mentioned below “the question one should always ask when seeing these articles/posts on “Excess Deaths” is: Excess to what, exactly….?” 

    Professor Eyal Shahar 
    As far as I can tell from epidemiology textbooks on my bookshelf, matters have not improved much in the past two decades. Although many authors teach how to compute standardized rates (or probabilities), they don’t solidly explain why the difference between, and the ratio of, two standardized measures of frequency are unconfounded measures of association. Nor do they explain the arbitrary choice of a standard population, and how to reconcile different estimated effects from an infinite number of possible “standards”. 
    Pdf Online

    The Netherlands deceased 1996 – 2022

    Statline Update January 6, WK52

    Data source: https://opendata.cbs.nl/#/CBS/nl/dataset/70895ned/table?dl=5B15C
    Note: you have to adjust the period parameters yourself

    Most Important Dataset of the Pandemic was Just Released

    Dr. Robert Malonecalls this the most important dataset of the Pandemic.

    Tom Lausen is a data activist. Via A Midwestern Doctor Lausen previously revealed the PEI and the RKI (the German equivalent of the CDC) were concealing concerning vaccine safety data.

    Lausen estimated that 90% of the suspicious deaths that occur after vaccination are not reported to the PEI, and approximately 90% of those reported come from the patient themselves or their relative

    The Gateway Pundit previously reported that German data analyst Tom Lausen held a conference last week in the Bundestag to discuss the massive rise in people who died “suddenly and unexpectedly” after the Covid vaccine rollout.

    Only one mainstream journalist was present during the press conference.


    Excess mortality across the border

    Posted on December 19, 2022 Written by Herman Steigstra
    Above link to original publication in Dutch, below the google translate version.

    Excess mortality across the border. With our calculation model we can do a good prognosis for over mortality based on the number of corona vaccinations.

    Article Summary

    Last week we posted an article describing how we can predict “unexplained excess mortality” using a model. The question then came to us was whether this model is also capable of predicting excess mortality abroad. This turns out to be successful and is what we describe here now.

    Reading Time: 6 minutes

    Excess mortality across the border

    The Netherlands Deceased 1995 – 2020

    The year 2020 was not the year of a killer virus!

    Netherlands 1995-2020 comparing 3 age-groups

    80 plus, 65-80 and <65 years; 1995-2020 year by year comparison.
    All numbers downloaded from the Dutch Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) database here. The date-stamp on the data is Jan 29, 2021.

    Comparing a dynamic group with absolute numbers, in my view, is a mis-interpretation of the real situation and not a realistic representation. You use these numbers for decision making in a “crisis’ for the purpose of a balanced risk assessment. The reaction to this pandemic is not one of balanced risk assessment but one of worst-case-thinking. Please read “WHO Bulletin 2011 – Health is more than influenza” in this blog-post and you’ll see that we have not learned anything from the past.

    Of-course 2020 has a number of deceased greater than 1950! A population of 17.4 million compared to 10.0 million! 

    Compare the age-group 80+, 2015 <> 2020; 734.976 <> 822.088. 
    Not to mention the number of people that represent 95+ years of age. With an average age of 83 years in the netherlands and a continues growing population of 80+ you do expect people to die reaching 80+.

    Focus 80+ 
    2014 was the year with the lowest deceased percentage since 1995, 10.56%. The year 2000 was the worst with 13.24% deceased in the 80plus age-group. 
    The percentage for 2020 is: 11.64%. Does this percentage represent a crisis caused by a killer virus?

    Focus <65 
    In 2020 this age-group represents 81% of the Dutch population. The total number of deceased is the lowest number (not %) since 1995, except for 2019. In 2020, a total of +713 people deceased, compared to 2019. Representing an increase of 0,004% with an age-group growth of 0,334%. 

    I try to present numbers that are easy to digest. Simple honest numbers that represent the reality! Why do we read fear-mongering headlines in our newspapers, especially the so cold main stream newspapers!? Why do we not hear about these numbers on the Dutch news channels!?

    Samuel Eckert – 2020 Death numbers Netherlands

    Auch in den Niederlanden tobte die Mikrobe. Man hat mit unterschiedlichen Maßnahmen eine Eindämmung versucht. Gegenwärtig hören wir an dieser Stelle leider immer mehr über Ausschreitungen und Gewalt. Wir möchten an dieser Stelle zum Frieden aufrufen und mit unseren Zahlen einen rationalen Ansatz bieten, Menschen zu überzeugen, die noch nicht erkennen konnten, in welchem Kontext diese Zahlen zu bewerten sind.

    Google translate German to English
    The microbe also raged in the Netherlands. Various measures have been taken to try to contain it. At the moment we are unfortunately hearing more and more about riots and violence at this point. At this point we would like to call for peace and with our numbers offer a rational approach to convince people who have not yet been able to recognize the context in which these numbers are to be evaluated.


    youtube: https://youtu.be/_PFsQYBnCDs

    Robert Malone – CoronaVax safety in the Netherlands

    Further update of Theo Schetters’ survey of public data from the NL


    Dr Robert Malone and Dr Theo Schetters – mRna vaccins and the rise of the all-cause mortality rate

    Press conference on vaccination consequences! – Martin Sichert – AfD parliamentary group in the Bundestag!

    Deepl German <> English

    Since the start of Corona vaccination, the population has shown drastic changes in disease patterns and deaths.

    This is the result of data from the Association of Statutory Health Insurance Physicians (KBV), which Martin Sichert was able to evaluate exclusively together with data expert Tom Lausen and which will be presented at the press conference.

    Patient data of the Kassenärztliche Bundesvereinigung (KBV) on side effects of the Corona vaccinations provide frightening findings: With the start of Corona mass vaccinations, the number of those who died “suddenly and unexpectedly” jumped more than fourfold compared to previous years. In each quarter, beginning with the first quarter of 2021, more sudden and unexpected deaths were recorded by panel physicians than in any total year from 2016 to 2020.

    Video in German – Use Youtube auto translate

    Link to data evaluation of vaccine consequences:

    Offizieller Kanal der AfD-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag Jetzt abonnieren ► https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC_dZ… Andere Social Media Kanäle Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/afdimbundestag/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/AfDimBundestag/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/afdimbundestag Telegram: https://t.me/afdfraktionimbundestag TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@afdfraktionim… GETTR: https://www.gettr.com/user/afdbundestag

    Impffolgen: German vaccine damage from official sources

    With the latest figures from Germany, a turning point has been reached: we can now really speak of vaccination damage and vaccination deaths.

    The circumstantial evidence is now piled up sky high, only the corpus delicti is still missing: the data manipulation, data concealment, misrepresentation, whatever you want to call it.

    Our governments have that data in their hands. Only those can provide hard evidence that the vaccinations have nothing to do with tens of thousands of unnecessary deaths in the Netherlands.


    The Many Ways “Excess Deaths” (“Överdödlighet”) can fool you

    In these Covid-times, traditional media, as well as various social media warriors, like to present “Excess Deaths” 2020, to either boost or downplay the severity of Covid-19.

    However, the question one should always ask when seeing these articles/posts on “Excess Deaths” is:

    Excess to what, exactly….?

    If you want to draw any meaningful conclusions about the impact of Covid on deaths, you simply can’t take whatever number some analysis presents as “Excess Deaths” as gospel, at least not before you truly understand how that “Excess” is defined, and what the baseline is, how that baseline has been established.

    Blog online

    New Actuarial Report Reaffirms the Trail of Death Caused by Vaccine Mandates

    The Vigilant Fox Aug 20, 2022

    Back in March, Edward Dowd dropped a bomb using the CDC’s own data to show an 84% increase in excess mortality among the millennial cohort, temporally related to the introduction of vaccine mandates from the summer into the fall.


    Our World in Data – Excess mortality during the Coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19)

    On this page we provide an overview of excess mortality along with charts to explore the data. You can learn in more depth about different measures of excess mortality, their strengths and limitations, and their comparability across countries in our work with John Muellbauer and Janine Aron.

    Excess mortality is a term used in epidemiology and public health that refers to the number of deaths from all causes during a crisis above and beyond what we would have expected to see under ‘normal’ conditions.1 In this case, we’re interested in how the number of deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic compares to the deaths we would have expected had the pandemic not occurred — a crucial quantity that cannot be known but can be estimated in several ways.

    Excess mortality is a more comprehensive measure of the total impact of the pandemic on deaths than the confirmed COVID-19 death count alone. It captures not only the confirmed deaths, but also COVID-19 deaths that were not correctly diagnosed and reported2 as well as deaths from other causes that are attributable to the overall crisis conditions.3



    CCBYNC Open accessResearch

    Excess deaths associated with covid-19 pandemic in 2020: age and sex disaggregated time series analysis in 29 high income countries

    Different countries have experienced very different numbers of excess deaths.
    Our study adds important insights on the direct and indirect effects of the covid-19 pandemic on total mortality.

    It underscores the importance of availability of age and sex disaggregated data for more nuanced analysis and estimation of the direct and indirect effect of the pandemic.

    A lack of detailed data from lower and middle income countries, especially those in Asia and Africa, calls for a globally coordinated effort to improve the local capacity in collecting and reporting critical vital statistics data promptly to aid evidence based healthcare policy decisions.

    This study provides a detailed and robust assessment of the impact of the covid-19 pandemic on total mortality up to the point that mass vaccination programmes started to become widely available throughout these countries.

    Future work will be needed to understand the impact of national vaccination programmes on mortality in 2021. https://www.bmj.com/content/373/bmj.n1137

    Downloadable PDF

    It is as though mankind had divided itself between those who believe in human omnipotence (who think that everything is possible if one knows how to organize masses for it) and those for whom powerlessness has become the major experience of their lives.

    -Hannah Arendt

    When I don’t know things, I don’t think that I do either! 

    This site is not about anti-vaccination, neither denying the existence of a virus! Its primary purpose is to inform

    Collecting solid scientific information, subject matter expert articles and interviews. Information mainly neglected by the “main stream media”.

    This site is not build to provoke, abuse or deny. Critical definitely, but also open to receive criticism.

    “The better the critic, the more holistic the sense of how own perspectives and tastes fit into the diverse pool of informed opinion of others.”

    The contact form is available to anyone. If you think information is incorrect please provide documented conclusive material and the the content will be removed.

    Published by TheHorizonX

    When I don’t know things, I don’t think that I do either. Unknown Unknowns specialist; Interested in those I don’t know I don’t know!

    2 thoughts on “Excess mortality

    Leave a Reply